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April saw the highest number of corporate bankruptcies in a year, S&P Global said. Eroding bets of an interest rate cut contribute to this, as burdened business throw in the towel. AdvertisementCorporate bankruptcies increased in recent months amid teetering confidence in a quick interest rate pivot. AdvertisementBy one measure, rising costs did slow when a rate cut looked likely in early 2024. But last month's stubborn inflation and slowing GDP made a Fed cut look unlikely, and yields shot up to 8.11%.
Persons: , April's, Frances Donald Organizations: P Global, Service, Federal, ICE, Fed, Investment
Fed not cutting rates would be a headwind to Asian markets: UBS
  + stars: | 2024-05-08 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: 1 min
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailFed not cutting rates would be a headwind to Asian markets: UBSHartmut Issel, head Asia-Pacific equities and credit at UBS Global Wealth Management, says, however, that his base case is that the U.S. Federal Reserve will cut interests rates twice this year, starting in September.
Persons: UBS Hartmut Issel Organizations: UBS, UBS Global Wealth Management, U.S . Federal Locations: Asia, Pacific
Uber reported first-quarter results Wednesday that came in slightly above analysts' estimates for revenue, but the ride-hailing company posted an unexpected net loss. The company's net loss widened to $654 million, or a 32 cent loss per share, from a loss of $157 million, or an 8 cent loss per share, in the same quarter last year. Uber said its net loss includes a $721 million net headwind from unrealized losses related to the reevaluation of its equity investments. Uber reported adjusted EBITDA of $1.38 billion, up 82% year over year and slightly above the $1.31 billion expected by analysts polled by StreetAccount. Uber anticipates adjusted EBITDA of $1.45 billion to $1.53 billion, compared with the $1.49 billion expected by analysts.
Persons: Uber, LSEG, CNBC's, Dara Khosrowshahi, Khosrowshahi, StreetAccount Organizations: Uber, LSEG Revenue, StreetAccount, Mobility
A recession by early next year could send stocks down 30%, says BCA strategist Roukaya Ibrahim. AdvertisementThere are two factors signaling a recession by year-end or early 2025, and a downturn could spark a 30% correction in stocks, according to BCA strategist Roukaya Ibrahim. "But eventually, the unemployment rate is going to take higher and that's going to lead to concerns about a recession." Ibrahim isn't alone in calling a recession and a steep plunge in the stock market. Wall Street veteran Gary Shilling, known for predicting the mid-2000s mortgage bubble, is also forecasting a 30% stock market crash by the end of this year, with a recession likely to crush speculative bets that have piled up in recent years.
Persons: Roukaya Ibrahim, Gary Shilling, , Ibrahim, Ibrahim isn't Organizations: Wall Street, Service, Bloomberg Locations: Friday's, China, Europe
Steve Eisman told Bloomberg TV that Apple will benefit from the coming wave of AI-based applications. Prospects of an AI iPhone have spurred bullish calls among other analysts. AdvertisementApple is well positioned to exploit the second leg of artificial intelligence, as the technology starts to take the form of mobile applications, Steve Eisman said. Sacconaghi's bullishness preceded Apple's winning earnings, during which CEO Tim Cook teased big AI announcements to come. AdvertisementWhen it comes to AI, Eisman has previously touted big investments in infrastructure, which would benefit from the tech's massive power demand.
Persons: Steve Eisman, , everybody's, Neuberger Berman, we're, Eisman, Bernstein's, Toni Sacconaghi, Sacconaghi's bullishness, Tim Cook, Dan Ives Organizations: Bloomberg, Apple, Service, Nvidia, AMD, Cook, Co, Securities, Worldwide Locations: China
Berkshire Hathaway shares are near all-time highs ahead of the conglomerate's annual shareholder meeting, but a few worries are weighing on analysts' minds. BRK.B ALL mountain Berkshire Hathaway Class B shares But that doesn't mean the stock is without its problems. Berkshire Hathaway Energy Berkshire Hathaway has been contending with several high-profile lawsuits in recent months, including the settlement this year of a billion-dollar lawsuit with the Haslam family over how Berkshire valued Pilot Travel Centers, a truck-stop giant. Her 12-month price target of $472 implies Berkshire shares can climb roughly 18% from Thursday's closing price of $400.60 per share. "I think that the future is very bright for Berkshire Hathaway," Shanahan said.
Persons: Berkshire Hathaway, Cathy Seifert, Berkshire Hathaway Energy Berkshire Hathaway, Haslam, PacifiCorp, Warren Buffett's Berkshire Hathaway, Buffett, Edward Jones, James Shanahan, CFRA's Seifert, Seifert, Shanahan, Bull Organizations: Berkshire, Berkshire Hathaway, CFRA Research, Berkshire Hathaway Energy Berkshire, Travel Centers, Berkshire Hathaway Energy, Federal Reserve, CNBC Locations: Berkshire, Oregon, Northern California, Warren, Woodstock, Omaha , Nebraska
Less than a month ago, analysts were calling for subdued earnings growth of just 3%. Although higher rates can be a headache, Lefkowitz said earnings growth matters most. Instead of obsessing over when interest rates will fall, Lefkowitz said investors should consider the reasoning behind the Fed's decisions. "If rates are rising and that's leading to more confidence in the earnings growth outlook, then that shouldn't be a headwind to markets," Lefkowitz said. Follow this 5-part investing game planHealthy earnings growth and a resilient economy have strategists at UBS GWM bullish about US stocks.
Persons: Jonathan Golub, weren't, that's, David Lefkowitz, Lefkowitz, , shouldn't Organizations: UBS Global Wealth Management, UBS, Business, UBS GWM, Bank of America, Federal, Healthcare
Coinbase reported better-than-expected revenue in its first-quarter earnings report on Thursday. Transaction revenue has historically been a primary driver of revenue, with subscription and services revenue bringing in $511 million for the quarter. The stock tends to benefit from big gains in bitcoin as large rallies in the cryptocurrency lead to increased trading volumes and demand for other services. During the first quarter, bitcoin hit a new all-time high above $73,000 in March, and ethereum, the second-biggest digital asset, underwent its first major upgrade in over a year. "Indeed, trading volumes on Coinbase's platform have come well down from early-March levels."
Persons: Coinbase, bitcoin, Raymond James analysts, Raymond James Organizations: SEC, Coinbase Locations: U.S, bitcoin, Crypto.com
Earnings per share rose 1% to $1.53, a March quarter record, and exceeded the LSEG consensus estimate of $1.50. This resulted in stronger-than-expected free cash flow, which is more important than operating cash flow because it is cash Apple can ultimately return to shareholders via buybacks and dividends. During the reported quarter, Apple paid over $27 billion to shareholders, including $3.7 billion in dividends and equivalents and another $23.5 billion via the repurchase of 130 million shares. Quarterly results Apple's services sales notched another record, which offset a slight miss in product sales and led to beats on gross and operating income. iPad sales are expected to gain double digits year over year, much better than the 5.9% expected on Wall Street.
Persons: Tim Cook, Cook, we're, Apple, Luca Maestri, Maestri, Jim Cramer's, Jim Cramer, Jim Organizations: Apple, Management, MacBook, MacBook Air, Apple Watch, Fortune, Apple Vision, KLM Airlines, CNBC, Apple Inc, Visual China, Getty Locations: China, Greater China, America, East, Canada, India, Spain, Turkey, Indonesia, WWDC, U.S, Australia, France, Germany, Japan, Shanghai
When mortgage rates rise, consumers look for any way to lower their monthly payments, and that often leads them to adjustable-rate mortgages (ARMs). These loans offer lower interest rates than their fixed-rate counterparts but are considered riskier. When mortgage rates hit record lows back in 2021, the ARM share of applications was in the 3% range. Meanwhile, the average contract interest rate for 5/1 ARMs decreased to 6.60% from 6.64%. "Inflation remains stubbornly high, and this trend is convincing markets that rates, including mortgage rates, are going to stay higher for longer.
Persons: Mike Fratantoni Organizations: Mortgage, Association, ARM, MBA's, Federal Reserve Locations: Hawthorn Woods , Illinois
The 10-year Treasury yield at one point in April neared 4.75% after starting the year below 4%. The anecdote, coupled with troubling inflation and economic growth data in April, helped push Treasury yields higher. More worrisome Powell commentary Wednesday after the Fed decision could further spike Treasury yields — or perhaps, he will sound confident the Fed still has a handle on inflation and rates will decline in response. However, that climb could run out of steam if Federal Reserve comments on Wednesday force Treasury yields higher. Higher interest rates constrain technology companies' ability to post the type of strong growth the sector has become synonymous with in recent years.
Persons: Stocks, Jerome Powell, worrisome Powell, Goldman Sachs Organizations: Federal, Tesla, Micro, Treasury
Bank of America boosted Amazon's price target after earnings to $210, eyeing 17% upside from Wednesday's price levels. Amazon's Q2 guidance slightly fell short of Wall Street's expectations, but Bofa still sees upside ahead. NEW LOOK Sign up to get the inside scoop on today’s biggest stories in markets, tech, and business — delivered daily. AdvertisementAmazon stock could soar as its latest earnings herald a "new era" of profits for the tech behemoth, according to Bank of America. On the guidance front, Amazon expects Q2 net sales to range between $144.0 billion and $149.0 billion, 2.5% below the estimated $150.21 billion.
Persons: Bofa, , Justin Post, BofA Organizations: of America, Service, Bank of America . Bank of America, Amazon
AI stocks plunged on Wednesday after AMD reported guidance that put a cloud over future AI chip demand. AdvertisementAI stocks plunged on Wednesday after AMD offered analysts 2024 revenue guidance for its AI chip that was below analyst estimates. AMD raised its 2024 revenue guidance for its MI300 AI chip by $500 million to $4 billion. While supply constraints seem to be a headwind for AMD's AI chip business, so too could be competition. The company's MI300 chip is a direct competitor to Nvidia's immensely popular H100 chip, and AMD claims that its chip outperforms Nvidia's.
Persons: , Lisa Su, Goldman Sachs, Nvidia's, Jensen Huang, Huang Organizations: AMD, Micro Computer, Nvidia, Service, Bloomberg, Nvidia's, Stanford Economic
Sales, earnings, segment profit margin, and organic growth all came in ahead of expectations, despite some minor misses in certain operating segments. In addition to the strong headline results, Electrical Americas, its biggest division, realized another record for sales, segment profit, and segment margins — driven partly by data center demand for AI computing power. Electrical Americas achieved yet another record for sales, segment profit, and segment margins with management noting strength in the data center market. Management expects a segment margin of 22.4% to 22.8%, ahead of the 22.4% midpoint estimate. Electrical Americas achieved yet another record for sales, segment profit, and segment margins with management noting strength in the data center market.
Persons: Eaton, Parker, Craig Arnold, Arnold, Jim Cramer's, Jim Cramer, Jim Organizations: Revenue, LSEG, Hannifin, DuPont, Honeywell, Electrical, Management, Aerospace, CNBC, Eaton Corporation, NYSE, NYSE Eaton Locations: North America, Electrical Americas, U.S, Eaton, Americas
In Starbucks' international segment, comparable store sales fell 6% and missed estimates of 0.5% growth. The street was looking for flat comparable sales in China, according to FactSet. China comparable sales are expected to decline by a single-digit percentage versus expectations of low single-digit growth in the second quarter through the fourth quarter. Global net new store growth was tweaked down from 6% to 7%. That's due to slower China store openings, which was revised to 12% growth from 13%.
Persons: Laxman Narasimhan, Dunkin, Jim Cramer's, Jim Cramer, Jim, Spencer Platt Organizations: Revenue, Starbucks, Bros, McDonalds, Wall Street, Global, CNBC, Getty Locations: China, United States, North America, Latin America, Asia, Japan, Manhattan , New York City
Investors shouldn't get too scared by the recent market pullback, according to Bank of America. The firm believes the recent downside movement is a promising entry point before the market returns to green this summer. April marks the worst month for the S & P 500 since September 2023 as investors' expectations for rate cuts fell on hot economic data. As of Tuesday morning, the S & P 500 was last trading around 5,100. The S & P 500 has tested its 5,000 support level, Suttmeier added.
Persons: Stephen Suttmeier, Suttmeier, — CNBC's Michael Bloom Organizations: Bank of America Locations: upsides
From deeps rate cuts to a potential rate hike in 2024, one firm has changed its forecast in a big way. Macquarie said the resilient economy means potential interest rate cuts won't happen until 2025. Assuming the central bank moves the federal funds rate down by 25 basis point increments, that would equate to nine interest rate cuts just this year. AdvertisementThat lack of economic weakness has led to a stark shift in interest rate forecasts, with even the Federal Reserve suggesting that its initial projections of three interest rate cuts this year could dwindle to one rate cut or even none. That could be a double whammy for a stock market that had been largely fixated on interest rate cuts this year.
Persons: Macquarie, , David Doyle, Neil Shankar, Jerome Powell Organizations: Service, Macquarie, Federal Reserve, Fed, UBS
However, first-quarter earnings and revenue both came above analysts' estimates. Honeywell — The industrial stock rose 2.2% in premarket trading after the company posted earnings per share of $2.25, beating LSEG analysts' estimates of $2.17. Revenue for the quarter came in at $9.11 billion, compared to the $9.03 billion analysts were expecting. Analysts surveyed by LSEG forecast $1.88 in earnings per share and $15.20 billion in revenue. ServiceNow — The workflow management company shed 4% after narrowly beating analysts' revenue expectations in the first quarter.
Persons: Merck, LSEG, ServiceNow, , Macheel, Samantha Subin, Jesse Pound, Pia Singh, Alex Harring Organizations: Facebook, Honeywell, Merck, Southwest Airlines, American Airlines, LSEG, StreetAccount, IBM, Caterpillar, Deutsche Bank — U.S, Deutsche Bank, Comcast, Technology, Revenue, CNBC Locations: NBCUniversal
Ford Motor — The automobile stock rose 2% after posting a first-quarter adjusted earnings beat and raising its adjusted free cash flow outlook for 2024. On the other hand, Ford's first-quarter revenue came in below expectations. First-quarter revenue of $14.46 billion missed consensus estimates of $14.55 billion, LSEG said. Chipotle earned $13.37 per share, excluding items, outpacing the $11.68 per share LSEG estimate, as traffic to its restaurants was robust. United Rentals — The equipment rental company added 2.4% after posting a first-quarter adjusted earnings and revenue beat.
Persons: LSEG, Ford's, Ethan Allen, Ethan Allen's, Chipotle, Lam, ServiceNow, , Christina Cheddar, Berk, Darla Mercado, Scott Schnipper Organizations: Technology, Facebook, Meta, Ford, Machines, IBM, Whirlpool, Research, Lam Research, Revenue, Churchill, United Rentals
The onshore CNY is currently trading at 7.24 per U.S. dollar. The South Korean won recently slipped to an 18-month low of 1,389.5 against the dollar. The Bank of Korea chief called the won volatility "excessive" and said the central bank would intervene if needed. Taiwan dollarBofA also remains negative on the Taiwan dollar given strong equity outflows and life insurance companies' additional unwinding of non-deliverable forward hedges. The Taiwan dollar is currently trading at 32.6 per U.S. dollar.
Persons: SeongJoon Cho Organizations: Korean, Woori, Bloomberg, Getty, U.S, South Korean, Fed, Bank of Korea, U.S ., Taiwan Locations: Seoul, South Korea
Here's a rapid-fire update on all 33 stocks in Jim Cramer's Charitable Trust, the portfolio we use for the CNBC Investing Club. Broadcom : Broadcom's AI business, which includes co-designing custom chips for tech giants such as Club holding Alphabet, is booming. The newspaper reported April 12 that Salesforce was in talks to buy Informatica, which sent the Club holding's shares plunging. Wells Fargo : Another trim is due for our Wells Fargo position after a great run for the bank stock, Jim argued. As a subscriber to the CNBC Investing Club with Jim Cramer, you will receive a trade alert before Jim makes a trade.
Persons: Jim Cramer's, Jim, Johnson, Abbott, Andy Jassy, Bausch, Salesforce, Salesforce didn't, Tom Jorden, We've, It's, Walt Disney, Nelson Peltz's, Bob Iger's, Estee Lauder, there's, Eaton, We're, he's, Locker, he'd, Vimal Kapur, Linde, Eli Lilly, Eli Lilly's, TikTok, Joe Biden, Morgan Stanley, Morgan Stanley's, Ted Pick, Jensen Huang, Nikesh Arora, haven't, Laxman Narasimhan, Sands, Stanley Black, Decker, TJ Maxx, TJX, Wells, Jim Cramer, Angela Weiss Organizations: Jim Cramer's Charitable Trust, CNBC, Club, Apple, Abbott Laboratories, Johnson, Web Services, Broadcom, VMWare, GE Healthcare, GE, Bausch Health, Costco Wholesale, Costco, Street, Informatica, Coterra, DuPont De Nemours, DuPont, Walt, Disney, Ford, GM, Philips, Siemens, Google, Honeywell, Linde, Facebook, Meta, Microsoft, Nvidia, Investors, AMD, Oregon State University, Palo Alto Networks, UnitedHealth, Procter & Gamble, Constellation Brands, Constellation, Modelo, TJX, Marshalls, Home Goods, Wynn Resorts, Jim Cramer's Charitable, New York Stock Exchange, Afp, Getty Locations: China, Informatica, Ford, Estee, U.S, mater, Palo, Corona, Wells Fargo, Wells, Macao, New York City
META mountain 2022-11-03 Meta's stock performance since Nov. 3, 2022, which marked its lowest close during its dramatic sell-off that year. In a recent Wedbush consumer survey, 60% of TikTok users who responded said either Facebook or Instagram were their top alternatives if TikTok were to be banned. That was followed by 19% of TikTok users who said they would go to YouTube. Meanwhile, Deutsche Bank said Meta's stock could see more upside in light of a potential TikTok ban. After initially being a drag on revenue, Meta has said Reels is now a positive contributor across its apps.
Persons: Jim, Joe Biden, ByteDance, Shou Zi Chew, TikTok, , FactSet, monetization, Philipp Schindler, We'll, Jim Cramer's, Jim Cramer, Avishek Das Organizations: Facebook, Chinese Communist Party, CNBC, Street, Meta, YouTube, Google, Wedbush Securities, Deutsche Bank, Getty Locations: U.S, Washington, Ukraine, Israel, Taiwan, China
Bitcoin miners brace for impact as halving goes live
  + stars: | 2024-04-21 | by ( Mackenzie Sigalos | ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +17 min
The technical event is relatively simple: Bitcoin miners get paid in bitcoin to validate transactions, and after 210,000 blocks of transactions are computed and added to the main chain, the reward given to the miners securing bitcoin is 'halved.' The aggregate market cap of the 14 U.S.-listed bitcoin miners tracked by JPMorgan analysts declined 28% over the first half of April to $14.2 billion, reaching year-to-date lows. Some have billed the 2024 bitcoin halving as a seminal moment for the mining sector. Marathon, along with other mining firms, has begun diversifying its business model into ancillary operations beyond purely bitcoin mining. Sullivan continued, "Bitcoin mining sites can only be repurposed if they meet the attributes that are required for HPC.
Persons: AUSTIN , TEXAS — Adam Sullivan, bitcoin, Sullivan, they'll, it's, Core's Sullivan, Bitdeer, Needham, Haris Basit, Basit, Cantor Fitzgerald, Greg Beard, Beard, Bitdeer's, Jason Les, Les, Fred Thiel, Capex, Thiel, Stronghold's Beard, Nic Carter, Blackrock, Bill Barhydt, Barhydt, Island's Carter isn't, Carter, CoinShares Organizations: bitcoin, CNBC, JPMorgan, Cipher, Bitdeer Technologies, Mining, Miners, Riot, Island Ventures, Circuits, Nvidia, CoreWeave, Bitcoin, HPC Locations: AUSTIN , TEXAS, Texas, bitcoin, U.S, Rockdale , Texas, Singapore, Bitcoin, Hong Kong, Abra, Europe, Dalton , Georgia, North America
Morgan Stanley Revenue rose 4% year over year to $15.14 billion, beating expectations of $14.41 billion, according to data compiled by LSEG. C YTD mountain Citigroup (C) year-to-date performance Citigroup had a decent quarter, Jim said. Jim said BofA just didn't shine versus the other major banks, and on earnings day Wall Street agreed, sending the stock down 3.5%. As a subscriber to the CNBC Investing Club with Jim Cramer, you will receive a trade alert before Jim makes a trade. Jim waits 45 minutes after sending a trade alert before buying or selling a stock in his charitable trust's portfolio.
Persons: Jim Cramer, Jim, Morgan Stanley, Goldman Sachs, Wells Fargo, Here's, Morgan Stanley's, Ted Pick, Pick, Goldman, Charlie Scharf, He's, Scharf, Wells, Jane Fraser's, BofA, Jamie Dimon, Jim Cramer's, JPMorgan Organizations: Citigroup, Bank of America, JPMorgan Chase, Investment, Morgan, Morgan Stanley Revenue, LSEG, Wealth, Goldman, Wells, Management, Silicon Valley Bank, Club, Citigroup Revenue, Citi, Bank of America Revenue, Bank, of, JPMorgan Chase Revenue, JPMorgan, CNBC, Citibank, Reuters Locations: Goldman Sachs, Wells Fargo, Silicon, buybacks, Wells
Elon Musk might need to start sleeping at Tesla again as tough times mount, according to top bull Adam Jonas of Morgan Stanley. The firm may slowly be exiting the EV industry, given rising Chinese competition and dimming outlooks, he said. "Looking ahead to Tesla's 1Q results ... investors are starting to ask: 'Is it time to sleep on the floor again?'" Though other analysts have touted full self-driving technology as a stock price headwind, Jonas sees commercialization at scale of these developments as far out. AdvertisementMarket challenges have already tanked Tesla's stock over 41% year-to-date.
Persons: Elon, Adam Jonas, Morgan Stanley, Jonas, , Elon Musk, Tesla, Tesla's, Musk Organizations: Service, Elon, EV
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